Prediction of 10km, half and marathon running performance

We propose you to estimate your future performance on 10km, half marathon and full marathon!

Based on your past race results, it is possible to predict your future performance with another distance.

The 2 main factors in running performance are the Maximal Aerobic Speed (MAS) and endurance. MAS can also be estimated from your training. While, endurance is only determined by running results.

The performance prediction model developed at the CNRS/MIT [1], in which Guillaume ADAM, co-founder of RunMotion Coach took part, has been validated with the results of thousands of runners. Guillaume finished top French athlete at 2019 New York City Marathon (2:26).

2019 New York Marathon

How does it work?

You have to enter at least one of your previous races.

If you enter 2 races, your endurance will be calculated, otherwise estimate your endurance level between bad, medium or good.

You will receive by e-mail a detailed report with your MAS, your endurance, your performance prediction for 5km, 10km, 20km, half marathon, full marathon and advice on your priority training areas.

Race A

Race distance
Official time
h min s

Race B

Race Distance
Official time
h min
Evaluation of your endurance

Receive my performance predictions, my MAS and my endurance

I agree to receive by email my personalised report and RunMotion Coach's monthly newsletters
[1] Mulligan M, Adam G, Emig T (2018) A minimal power model for human running performance. PLoS ONE 13(11): e0206645.
This calculator uses a part of the performance prediction model that is applied to races from 800m to marathon.